Arunachal Pradesh: Cultural and Strategic Flashpoint For Sino-Indian Relations

Arunachal Pradesh: Cultural and Strategic Flashpoint For Sino-Indian Relations Publication: China Brief Volume: 17 Issue: 1 By: Sudha Ramachandran The Jamestown Foundation Sino-Indian relations are likely to become strained in early 2017. The Dalai Lama is scheduled to visit Tawang in the northeast Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh in March. According to the Chinese Foreign…

China and Saudi Arabia Solidify Strategic Partnership Amid Looming Risks

China and Saudi Arabia Solidify Strategic Partnership Amid Looming Risks Publication: China Brief Volume: 17 Issue: 3 By: Chris Zambelis The Jamestown Foundation While the wider Middle East remains convulsed by conflict and instability, China’s influence and interests in the region continue to expand in a familiar pattern. As the world’s largest consumer of energy…

Foreign Fighters and Sectarian Strikes: Islamic State Makes Gains in Afghanistan-Pakistan Region

Foreign Fighters and Sectarian Strikes: Islamic State Makes Gains in ‘Af-Pak’ Region Publication: Terrorism Monitor By: Animesh Roul The Jamestown Foundation Since its formation nearly two years ago, Islamic State (IS) in Afghanistan, known as IS Khorasan, has struggled to maintain a foothold in an ever-competitive jihadist landscape. Its disregard for local sensitivities and a…

Is Sleeping Beauty Kaliningrad Oblast About to Wake Up?

Is Sleeping Beauty Kaliningrad Oblast About to Wake Up? Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor By: Jörgen Elfving The Jamestown Foundation In early October, the Estonian media reported that Russia was transporting, by ship, Iskander short-range ballistic missiles from Ust Luga (Leningrad Oblast) to the Baltic exclave of Kaliningrad (ERR, October 7). This news sparked a wave…

Pakistan’s Jamaat-ul-Ahrar: A Violent Domestic Threat

Pakistan’s Jamaat-ul-Ahrar: A Violent Domestic Threat Publication: Terrorism Monitor Volume: 14 Issue: 18 By: Animesh Roul The Jamestown Foundation Jamaat-ul-Ahrar (JuA), once a disgruntled breakaway faction of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), has been behind a series of deadly attacks across Pakistan since March 2016, apparently contradicting the Pakistani Army’s claim to have eliminated terrorism from North…

Russia Deepens Middle East Military Footprint With Joint Exercises in Egypt

Russia Deepens Middle East Military Footprint With Joint Exercises in Egypt Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor By: John C. K. Daly The Jamestown Foundation Over the past two years, the most significant political development in the Middle East has been Russia’s increasing political and military presence. Aside from its deepening military and political footprint in Syria,…

Russian Military Presence in Syria Increasing With Carrier Deploying to Eastern Mediterranean

Russian Military Presence in Syria Increasing With Carrier Deploying to Eastern Mediterranean Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor By: Pavel Felgenhauer The Jamestown Foundation It took several month of intermittent talks between the United States and Russia and many multi-hour marathon sessions between US Secretary of State John Kerry and his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov to hammer…

A Crystallizing Russo-Chinese Alliance

A Crystallizing Russo-Chinese Alliance Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor By: Stephen Blank The Jamestown Foundation Whenever a Russian president travels to Asiatic Russia or the Asia-Pacific region, he traditionally enunciates important precepts of Russian foreign policy in Asia. This was true of both Dmitry Medvedev and Vladimir Putin during all three of his presidential terms. Putin’s…

Circassians Divided Over Turkish Coup Attempt and Its Aftermath

Circassians Divided Over Turkish Coup Attempt and Its Aftermath Publication: North Caucasus By: Valery Dzutsati The Jamestown Foundation Many from Turkey’s North Caucasian diaspora supported President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan during the failed July 15 coup. At least some North Caucasians, however, have doubts about extending their support to the Turkish president. The Circassian activists are…

India Treads a Delicate Line With State-Sponsorship of Anti-Maoist Groups

India Treads a Delicate Line With State-Sponsorship of Anti-Maoist Groups Publication: Terrorism Monitor Volume: 14 Issue: 14 By: Sudha Ramachandran The Jamestown Foundation India’s controversial anti-Maoist vigilante group, Samajik Ekta Manch (SEM), has announced it will disband. Set up in December 2015 with the stated goal of ridding Chhattisgarh’s Bastar region of Maoists and supporting…

China Dictates Terms for Sino-Japanese Relations During First Japanese Foreign Minister Visit in Four Years

China Dictates Terms for Sino-Japanese Relations During First Japanese Foreign Minister Visit in Four Years Publication: China Brief Volume By: Michael S. Chase, Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga The Jamestown Foundation Japanese Foreign Minister Kishida Fumio’s official visit to Beijing from April 29 to May 1, the first trip to China by a Japanese Foreign Minister since November…

Oman as a Counter-Terrorism Model for the GCC States

Oman as a Counter-Terrorism Model for the GCC States Publication: Terrorism Monitor By: Alexandria Caputo The Jamestown Foundation Omani youth, according to one recent poll, see the ideology of Islamic State (IS) as the largest obstacle facing their Gulf nation (Times of Oman, April 16). The survey, conducted by international polling firm Penn Schoen Berland,…

INF Treaty Increasingly in Danger, as Russia Balks at New Missile Defense Base in Romania

INF Treaty Increasingly in Danger, as Russia Balks at New Missile Defense Base in Romania Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor By: Pavel Felgenhauer The Jamestown Foundation The United States missile defense (MD) base near the Romanian town of Deveselu, west of Bucharest, became operational this week, armed with 24 SM-3 Block IB interceptors, guided by a…

Jahba East Africa: Islamic State Alters the Dynamic of Somalia’s Conflict

Jahba East Africa: Islamic State Alters the Dynamic of Somalia’s Conflict Publication: Terrorism Monitor By: Sunguta West The Jamestown Foundation With the emergence of a group in Somaliland calling itself Jahba East Africa, it appears Islamic State (IS) is becoming an independent entity in Somalia’s insurgency. This development will likely complicate the conflict both for…

Putin’s Secret Force Multiplier: Special Operations Forces

Putin’s Secret Force Multiplier: Special Operations Forces Publication: Eurasia Daily By: Roger McDermott The Jamestown Foundation One in three questions posed to President Vladimir Putin during his recent annual live phone-in show covered issues of national security. Public interest in events in Donbas has apparently shrunk substantially, and the only concerns expressed about the Islamic…

Berlin, Paris Side With Moscow Against Kyiv In Normandy Group’s Meeting

Berlin, Paris Side With Moscow Against Kyiv In Normandy Group’s Meeting Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor By: Vladimir Socor The Jamestown Foundation As anticipated (see EDM, February 26), the “Normandy” meeting on March 3–4, in Paris, cornered Ukraine to extract its acceptance of “elections” in the Russian-occupied territory. German Minister of Foreign Affairs Frank-Walter Steinmeier did…

Azerbaijan Seeks a Quiet Geopolitical Approach: Russian Federation and Turkey

Azerbaijan Seeks a Quiet Geopolitical Approach: Russian Federation and Turkey Murad Makhmudov, Noriko Watanabe and Lee Jay Walker Modern Tokyo Times The political elites in Baku are at pains to distance Azerbaijan from the entanglements of the Russian Federation and Turkey. Of course, in order to achieve this then Azerbaijan must contemplate serious issues from…

Al-Shabaab Recruitment from Kenyan Universities Alarms Officials

Al-Shabaab Recruitment from Kenyan Universities Alarms Officials Publication: Terrorism Monitor By: Sunguta West The Jamestown Foundation Al-Shabaab, the Somalia-based Islamist militant organization, is still actively recruiting from neighboring Kenya even as the group suffers major setbacks in southern Somalia. Underpinning the group’s notable success in recruitment is the radicalization and indoctrination of young men in…

Parliamentary Elections Confirm Kyrgyzstan’s Pro-Russian Orientation

Parliamentary Elections Confirm Kyrgyzstan’s Pro-Russian Orientation Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor By: George Voloshin The Jamestown Foundation On October 4, Kyrgyzstan held parliamentary elections—the first in the country’s history in which the authorities used voters’ biometrics to obtain quick and reliable polling data. While the definitive results will only be released 20 days after the vote…

China and Russia Multiply Efforts in Global Agenda-Setting

China and Russia Multiply Efforts in Global Agenda-Setting Publication: China Brief By: Vitaly Kozyrev The Jamestown Foundation At the 70th Session of the UN General Assembly in late September, the leaders of China and Russia condemned western unilateralism (Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, September 28; UN.org, September 28). Chinese President Xi Jinping launched his week-long…

The Islamic State’s Uneven Trajectory in Libya

The Islamic State’s Uneven Trajectory in Libya Publication: Terrorism Monitor Volume: 13 Issue: 19 By: Nathaniel Barr The Jamestown Foundation As the Islamic State sought to expand geographically in the months following the declaration of the caliphate in June 2014, Libya initially appeared to be the organization’s most promising frontier outside of Syria and Iraq.…